Litecoin, the fork of Bitcoin established in 2011, is set for its third mining reward halving today. This will cut the block reward from 12.5 to 6.25 LTC, signaling Litecoin’s shift to a deflationary currency with a predictable monetary supply. The halving event, expected around 3:15:37 p.m. UTC, has stirred a notable momentum in Litecoin’s network fundamentals, with the hashrate achieving new highs.
Historical Performance Post-Halving
Historically, Litecoin’s price performance in the wake of halving events has been less than bullish. Post the 2015 and 2019 halvings, LTC prices remained stagnant for extended periods before witnessing breakouts coinciding with Bitcoin rallies. This pattern, however, didn’t deter a 28.8% year-to-date gain for LTC, trading at $91.36 as of press time. Crypto analyst Ali underscores that Litecoin is currently trading between two significant supply walls, one acting as support between $87 and $90 and the other as resistance between $90 and $93.
Pre-Halving Price Trends
Litecoin’s halving events seem to follow a ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’ pattern, as LTC experienced substantial increases – 824% and 525% respectively – in the months preceding the 2015 and 2019 halvings. With 87% of LTC already in circulation, and the current LTC price indicating a 40% increase since late June, it’s reasonable to anticipate a similar price action.
Impact on Miners and Crypto Market
Although the halving will decrease mining rewards, the impact on miners may be balanced by a decrease in mining difficulty, effectively lowering mining costs. Further, Litecoin’s dual-mining mechanism with Dogecoin might further offset miner profitability issues. Notably, while Litecoin’s block reward is halved, Dogecoin’s remains constant.
Future Outlook and Market Influence
The current halving, notwithstanding its narrative to create volatility and speculation, appears to have a muted impact on Litecoin’s price movement. This event, given Litecoin’s relatively small size and specific proof-of-work-based nature compared to Bitcoin, may not significantly influence other altcoins. Litecoin’s current hash rate is 786 terahashes per second (TH/s), dwarfed by Bitcoin’s hash rate of approximately 356 exahash per second (EH/s).
Overall, while the Litecoin halving may not cause immediate drastic shifts in the crypto market, it renews interest in the sector and lays the groundwork for future dynamics in the Litecoin market. Watch this space for further updates on Litecoin’s performance post-halving.